Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.382620 0.421988 0.464185 0.512865 0.567579 0.627294 0.697561
2025-06-29 0.315844 0.369791 0.431769 0.508602 0.601789 0.711774 0.852329
2025-07-06 0.268817 0.327064 0.397061 0.488053 0.604195 0.748798 0.944535
2025-07-13 0.246170 0.309200 0.387839 0.494242 0.636115 0.821125 1.084546
2025-07-20 0.228201 0.294490 0.379885 0.499494 0.665164 0.890216 1.225481
2025-07-27 0.213464 0.282108 0.373076 0.504482 0.692843 0.958414 1.370880
2025-08-03 0.200135 0.270159 0.365332 0.506690 0.715735 1.020699 1.513032
2025-08-10 0.189454 0.260788 0.360040 0.511330 0.741717 1.088876 1.670501
2025-08-17 0.175509 0.245638 0.345182 0.500334 0.742667 1.118274 1.768434
2025-08-24 0.167906 0.239008 0.342016 0.506284 0.769681 1.190134 1.943369
2025-08-31 0.158741 0.229376 0.333582 0.503201 0.781682 1.238239 2.082291
2025-09-07 0.151849 0.222652 0.328975 0.505564 0.802350 1.302040 2.255516
2025-09-14 0.142842 0.212263 0.318219 0.497494 0.805394 1.336819 2.381459
2025-09-21 0.135292 0.203693 0.309775 0.492582 0.813379 1.380970 2.530652
2025-09-28 0.125254 0.190592 0.293247 0.472816 0.793541 1.372740 2.575538
2025-10-05 0.121312 0.187011 0.291895 0.478780 0.819967 1.452067 2.806536
2025-10-12 0.117484 0.183367 0.290158 0.483841 0.844991 1.530879 3.046424
2025-10-19 0.113879 0.179865 0.288400 0.488648 0.869783 1.611405 3.300470
2025-10-26 0.110045 0.175754 0.285326 0.490776 0.889491 1.683466 3.545135
2025-11-02 0.106863 0.172562 0.283625 0.495246 0.914027 1.767640 3.829229
2025-11-09 0.101440 0.165237 0.274253 0.484650 0.907538 1.785810 3.958275
2025-11-16 0.098929 0.162844 0.273496 0.490384 0.934655 1.878714 4.283748
2025-11-23 0.095253 0.158214 0.268442 0.487413 0.943394 1.931916 4.516395